Another rough day, and markets closed lower, the extent of the recent dip was such that it is now significantly lower the than before the USDA WASDE. Funds liquidation: they had a good run, time to take a breather and realize some profits and watch the World Cup with fewer positions.
Market was a bit in hungover mode after the USDA WASDE. The problem of partying like there’s no tomorrow is that… Well… There’s a tomorrow! This was a correction across the board as market was wondering if the bullish wave wasn’t too much as it was widely anticipated.
The day the fundamentals matters. Nothing else matters… This one was supposed to be an eventless report as all news were supposed to be integrated in the markets already, if not a bearish one on over dramatizing the weather patterns.
A softer Friday overall to end up an eventful week with blood, sweat and tears; big ranges,… Soybeans ended down -5.00 cents, Wheat down -6.75 cents in Chicago, -6.25 cents in Kansas and -5.00 cents in Minneapolis.
Has it been raining? Not really. But market lost grounds yesterday and ended down -19.50 cents on Soybeans, -10.75 cents on Corm, -18.00 cents on Chicago Wheat, -19.25 cents in Kansas and -10.75 cents in Minneapolis.
A weak Friday to end up the week. The only thing that ended up were Soybeans, up 2.75 cents. Everything else was down: Corn down -2.50 cents, Wheat down -3.00 cents in Chicago, -1.75 cent in Kansas and -8.00 cents in Minneapolis.
Wheat is on fire! A strong Friday across the board, pretty convincing to be honest, but the big question will be if the underlying reason is proven to be correct. Basically, these days, Russia is the main topic.
The May USDA WASDE report is like Christmas: new crop data! Woo hoo! But fair to say that the market reaction was more like not believing to Santa Claus as it was welcomed with scepticism.
USDA WASDE is always a day the fundamentals may matter… Or may not… Well, the April report is not usually the most exciting as it is the last one without the ‘new new’ crop, new crop data (crop 18/19) will come in the next WASDE.
So this was a bit of a reversal of the retracement of the post report rally: quite difficult to understand put like this but in other words, roller coaster. Does this invalidate the retracement and validate the rally?
